How Decision Desk calls a raceįor people new to election watching, it might seem ridiculous to have an election called with less than 1 percent of the vote counted. In Iowa, Decision Desk had a person on the ground to get the results directly from the party. And it uses old-fashioned methods, like phone calls and faxes - though to a far lesser extent than the AP does. It also scrapes information directly from other public sites. Decision Desk uses an API, or application programming interface, that essentially allows the firm to get the information at the same time as it’s published on the website, provided by election officials. Media outlets pay them to do the extra work necessary to pull results together. This is where firms like Decision Desk come in. They also aren’t necessarily easy to find through a Google search. They often do not post the most useful information front and center - like where to vote and election results. But if you’ve ever tried to access one of these sites, you’ve probably noticed they are mostly terrible. We have a contract with Decision Desk to publish its data.įor example, state officials responsible for reporting elections generally report them on a public website. Media outlets rely on firms like Decision Desk to make sense of publicly available information in real time. We trust Decision Desk because it uses gold-standard methods to call elections. It beat its main competitor, the AP, by 47 minutes in New Hampshire and by 15 minutes in Nevada, and it called the race almost immediately in South Carolina. It’s also been quite fast, relative to competitors. In 2020, Decision Desk has made no incorrect calls. The Associated Press had to recall that election too. It was an extraordinarily close race, and though at first it looked like Valadao had a lead that wouldn’t be affected by mail-in ballots, it ultimately flipped on the last mail-in ballots. It’s only had to go back on one election call since it started offering its services to clients like Vox, which was in California’s 21st Congressional District, where Republican David Valadao lost to Democrat TJ Cox. We’ve worked with Decision Desk since 2017. We rely on data powered by Decision Desk HQ - a firm that provides trustworthy, timely information. The margin of error also varied by question but is around plus or minus 3 percentage points overall.įor the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to The Hill.This year, Vox is publishing live election results for every presidential primary and in many down-ballot races. The NewsNation-Decision Desk HQ poll was conducted July 22 to July 24 and surveyed about 1,000 registered voters, though the exact number of respondents varied by question. That polling complicates an already challenging environment for Democrats who face several headwinds in November, including low Biden approval ratings, high inflation and the historical trend that the president’s party usually suffers some losses in the midterms. The issue of inflation also continues to be top of mind for Americans, with about 94 percent people polled saying they are somewhat or very concerned about inflation. Thursday’s poll was another sign of voter dissatisfaction with Biden, with 57 percent of respondents saying they disapproved of his performance and 43 percent saying they approved. While Biden and White House officials have repeatedly said he plans to run in 2024, the NewsNation-Decision Desk HQ poll is not the first to show a sizable portion of Americans, including Democrats, are not enthusiastic about the president running again.Ī New York Times-Siena College poll released earlier this month found 64 percent of Democrats would prefer someone other than Biden in 2024. The poll found 30 percent of Democrats and 61 percent of respondents overall did not want Biden to run for another term.
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